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Donald Trump might lock up the Republican nomination before the convention in Cleveland but it's looking a bit more likely that he won't. Harry Enten crunches some numbers to show us that Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era and also notes that Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado.

I have the feeling that this whole thing is going to come down to a fight over the interpretation and modification of party rules; that Trump will be arguing he's got it won and that Cruz and other opponents will be arguing that he hasn't. And both sides will be pushing to clarify and change rules that will make their position so.

Meanwhile, Jonathan Chait notes that Paul Ryan is positioning himself to represent a saner, more traditional Republican party as its spokesperson if not its nominee. But Ryan's platform is still pretty much to take from the poor, give to the rich and "We'll unveil a great Obamacare alternative any day." Ryan is among the many Republicans who've been promising that great Obamacare alternative "any day now" for six or seven years. They'll probably still be promising it "any day now" six or seven years from today.

Lastly for now: Last week, Paul Krugman penned a column arguing that Bernie Sanders is wrong when he says "Break up the big banks." Matt Taibbi has since written a piece that says Krugman is wrong and Sanders is right. I hope you know which of them is right because I sure don't.