Some are saying that the way the process works in Iowa, the soonest that the voters there could possibly outlaw same-sex marriage is 2012. That means three years of gays getting married and three years of those marriages not undermining the very structure of society and destroying conventional marriage.
Perhaps a majority of Iowans today would like to see same-sex wedlock outlawed. Will they in '12? After all those couples have been happily married for years? After other states have legalized gays getting hitched? After mixed-sex marriage has been in no way damaged and after The Lord has not shown his wrath by smiting the state of Iowa with locusts and plagues? I wonder…
I've long held that the folks fighting gay marriage may not know it but they're not working to abolish it…only to delay it. Nate Silver crunches the numbers and shows how things are moving in that direction.