Stuff I'm TiVoing This Weekend…

Some PBS outlets are running an hour called Broadway's Best at Pops, which includes clips of Ethel Merman, Ray Bolger, Carol Channing and Ben Vereen performing with the Boston Pops on past shows. (I guess that last part goes without saying. It's very hard to book Ethel and Ray these days.)

As we all know, late Saturday night/early Sunday morn, NBC runs a complete vintage episode of Saturday Night Live. My TiVo claims the one this weekend is the April 21, 1990 episode hosted by Alec Baldwin with musical guests, the B-52s but NBC press releases say it's the March 12, 1983 show hosted by Bruce Dern with musical guest Leon Redbone. This is the one with the Assassination of Buckwheat, which was among the better things they did that season.

I'm guessing they switched to the 1983 episode because Sunday evening, NBC is running a two-hour special on Saturday Night Live in the eighties. This is preceded by a two-hour Penn and Teller special which I'll also be recording.

I haven't been mentioning the upcoming Mystery Guests on the GSN What's My Line? reruns. But if it matters to you, the next eight shows should be Shelley Winters, Jane Fonda, Jack Lemmon, Jonathan Winters, Bob Cummings, Laurence Harvey, Gertrude Berg and Jimmy Cagney. They're now running shows from March, 1960 so we're starting to hear comments about the presidential election of that year, which makes for an interesting bit of history.

Meaningful Manga

My friend Buzz Dixon, whose name you've seen many a time on this weblog, is a writer of all sorts of things: Screenplays, animation, comics, games, etc. He has recently turned editor/packager with a new line of what his people are calling "America's Premiere Inspirational Manga." Serenity is a comedic teen soap opera about an unhappy girl who finds a happy ending in today's world. She's a lonely teen from a broken family who's coping with certain anger issues as she enrolls in a new school and gets "adopted" by a Christian prayer group. Buzz wrote it and it was drawn primarily by Min Kwon, a young Korean-American woman who's steeped in Asian storytelling techniques yet immersed in American culture as well. I like the fact that the story is written with conviction but without hectoring, and that the kids seem to talk and act like actual kids.

Each bi-monthly paperback edition is issued by Barbour Publishing, a long-time publisher of Christian and inspirational material. You can pick up the first one (and all to come) from Amazon. Here's a link to order. Good luck with this, Buzz.

Another Rumor

Disneyland revamping the Pirates of the Carribean ride to bring it more in line with the movie series of the same name? This site says it's so.

This Just In…

A press release from NBC…

NEW YORK – November 10 – "Late Night" host Conan O'Brien and his wife Liza Powel O'Brien are thrilled to announce the arrival of their son, Beckett O'Brien. This is the couple's second child. He was born Wednesday, November 9 in New York City at 8:27 PM. He is a healthy 8lbs 4oz. Mother, baby and father are all well.

Frank Talk

The other day, we helped spread the rumor that the Tail o' the Pup, the hot dog stand shaped like a hot dog, may be forced to close soon. This article in the L.A. Times says that its owner is hoping to move it to a new location in Westwood Village. Good news if it happens.

TiVo News

TiVo is rolling out a new software upgrade that made it to one of my machines the other night. It simplifies some menus but the main new feature is something they call Overlap Protection. The message you receive with this doesn't explain it well so I did a little research and I think (note the italics for emphasis) I have it figured out.

First of all, you should know that when TiVo installs this software upgrade, it turns the Overlap Protection feature on. You can turn it off if you like. This is done in the Settings section and the control is on the Recording menu.

If the feature is turned off and you accidentally schedule recordings of two shows that overlap, one will not be recorded. If it's turned on and the shows overlap by six minutes or more, that will still be the case.

But if the shows overlap by five minutes or less, TiVo will record both and merely trim the beginning or ending of one. If you look at your To Do List, a clipped show will be marked with an asterisk.

How does TiVo decide which show to clip and which one to record in whole? If one show is a Season Pass and one is a one-time recording, then the one-time recording will be the one not clipped. If both shows are Season Passes, then the one with the higher priority number on your Season Pass List will be the one not clipped. If both shows are one-time recordings (i.e., neither show is a Season Pass), then the most recently-scheduled one will be the one not clipped. In any case, a TiVo Suggestion will have the lowest standing. It will probably not be recorded at all if there's an overlap but if it is, it will be the one clipped.

There. I think I have that right. Someone tell me if I don't.

In other TiVo News, it is now possible to do an online scheduling via the Yahoo TV Listings page. You'll need to have a Yahoo e-mail and also sign up for online scheduling over at the TiVo site. Once you do, it makes things very easy, especially if your TiVo is connected to the Internet so it can receive the data quickly. We like this a lot.

Lastly: TiVo has started a new promotion on its site where you can get a 40-hour TiVo for free if you sign up for a full year of TiVo service and pay a slightly higher subscription fee for the first year — $16.95 a month as opposed to $12.95. That comes to $203.40 for the box and Year One of its usage and then, I assume, they let you go down to the lower subscription price. The standard best deal for a 40-hour TiVo is $49.99 for the machine and then the first year is $155.40 –which equals $205.39. So it's not much of a savings, though it may be greater because I think you have to pay sales tax on the latter deal and don't on the new one. Still, you may not want to avail yourself of the "free machine" offer because a 40-hour TiVo may be too small for you. I bought an 80-hour TiVo for my office and a few years later, I took it in to these people and had its hard disk replaced with two that jointly give me 317 hours at Basic Quality or 142 at High Quality. I record most things at High Quality though I always have the fear that my TiVo is going to look at what I watch and tell me, "Sorry, you can't record a low quality show at High Quality."

Recommended Reading

Michael Hiltzik, who blogs for the L.A. Times, has a view of Arnold Schwarzenegger that I find interesting. It includes the prediction that Arnold will not stand for re-election; that he will find some excuse to go do other things. Having predicted that Schwarzenegger would not run in the first place, I'm not about to venture another Arnold projection. But you might want to read Hiltzik's take.

Conan Cancellation

The taping of tonight's Late Night with Conan O'Brien was cancelled and a rerun will be on in place of the scheduled new episode. Could this mean that Mr. O'Brien's spouse is delivering their second baby?

Black on Green Screen

In the spirit of "If you can't beat 'em…", comedian Lewis Black will be appearing this evening on The Weather Channel to try his hand at forecasting and to (perhaps) explain why he's spent years calling it "a worthless channel." This will allegedly occur shortly after 9PM Eastern time and again shortly after Midnight. I'm not sure if the later segment is a replay of the earlier material. Whatever it is, it was taped on Monday so Mr. Black's predictions will have a dubious legitimacy.

I Voted

The trouble with these special elections is that they combine precincts so your polling place can wind up being quite some distance. Mine was and for some reason, I decided to walk to it. Went right through the ballot in about twelve seconds and I felt like I wanted to ask the workers there, "Hey, you got anything else I can vote on? I came a long way to get here."

Weather Report

Only early this morning did the two main weather models for Southern California finally come into agreement. Last night, the NAM was still forecasting a big Tuesday storm and the GFS was predicting minor rain chances through Friday. They finally split the difference and now foresee a big storm on Wednesday (though not as big as the NAM was anticipating) tapering off on Thursday.

Or at least, that's what the weather folks are saying at the moment. This is a cut-off low (i.e., "weatherman's woe") so any forecast has to be qualified with the reminder that these things are hard to gauge and that plans can change rapidly. Keep the umbrella handy.

Recommended Reading

Harper's Magazine has an interesting article up: A History of the Iraq War Told Entirely In Lies.

(For what it's worth, for reasons I'll explain at greater length here one of these days, I am not comfortable with the use of the word "lie" to describe any statement that eventually turns out to be untrue. "Lie" connotes deliberate deception and I suspect that some or all of the false assertions and reports fall into the slightly different categories of exaggeration, selective reporting, believing stuff that more competent people would have known was bogus, and encouraging others to tell you what you want to hear. None of this is wholly forgiveable, especially when it amounts to passing the buck to unnamed others who also will not be held accountable. But it's not all a matter of "lies.")

Also, over in The New Yorker, this article by Jane Mayer discusses CIA interrogation that turns into arguable murder.

Recommended Reading

Slate has up a little essay (with plenty of examples) by Chris Suellentrop on Calvin and Hobbes. A nice bit of commentary.

Weather or Not

As I think I've mentioned, I have some interest in the science of weather forecasting and in observing how the folks who do it do it. We have a fascinating (to me) situation looming for Southern California for Tuesday into Wednesday. Here, the main method of figuring out if it's gonna rain or shine is by use of two computer models that track satellite data in various ways and project what's going to happen. One is the NAM and one is the GFS. NAM stands for "North American Mesoscale Model" and GFS stands for "Global Forecast System." Others are used but 95% of the time, those two tell the story.

Ordinarily, they are in rough agreement and as they get closer to the time period in question, they converge on one another. If the NAM says it's going to be 70 and the GFS says it's going to be 74, the forecast will generally be for 72…though sometimes, human beings look at the projections and decide that one or the other is the more accurate and will give it more weight. Usually, they're pretty close when you're looking 24-36 hours ahead.

Not this time. In a rare lack of convergence, the NAM is currently projecting a huge rain storm beginning late Tuesday and lasting into Wednesday with rainfall totals in the 1-2 inch category. That's a lot for Southern California this time of year and it would probably cause mudslides and flooding, especially in the burn areas of the mountains and outlying areas. On the other hand, the GFS is saying that the storm in question will turn into a cut-off low and remain off-shore for a few days, dumping most of its energy out there, spinning off small impulses. That would lead to a small (20-30%) chance from late Tuesday through about Friday afternoon.

To make matters more confusing, the two models have swapped points of view in the last few days. On Saturday, the GFS was projecting what the NAM now projects and vice-versa. Lately, instead of coming together, each is stubbornly sticking to its guns.

As of this moment, the National Weather Service is going with the GFS projection but cautioning other folks in the weather business that confidence is low and that a sudden change could be necessary. Let's see if they made the correct call. Despite the way we all wail and curse their profession when they're wrong, they're usually right.