Waiting for the Guy Upstairs

So what's up with the next Stephen Sondheim musical? Alan Burnett sent me this link to an article that tells us what is presently known about it.

From the E-Mailbag…

And today, the letter in the E-Mailbag is from Josh Pincus

I know, from your blog, that you are a fan of the Antenna TV reruns of the Tonight Show, so I thought you would find this interesting.

A few nights ago, my wife and I were watching an episode that was originally broadcast on May 15, 1974. The evening's guests were Robert Blake, Fernando Lamas, Charles Fleischer and Victoria Principal.

Mr. Blake was the first guest and he and Johnny had a weirdly prophetic chat. First, he talked about fighting with his wife (who, at the time was Sondra) to the point of threatening divorce. Then, he talked about hiking with the late Wally Cox. Wally, he explained, gave him advice on cheating on his spouse. He said Wally told him, "If it works out and you want to stay with the woman you are cheating with, just shoot your wife." The audience laughed. My wife and I looked at each other. This was a full 27 years before Robert's second wife Bonnie Lee Bakley was shot and killed under mysterious circumstances, with Blake soon charged (then acquitted) of her murder.

Johnny mentioned that Wally Cox was good friends with Marlon Brando. Blake grimaced at the mention of Brando's name. He said he had met the actor and just didn't like him. Years later, when Blake met Bonnie Bakley, she was also in a relationship with Christian Brando, Marlon's son. When she became pregnant, it was disputed and debated as to who was the father — Blake or Christian Brando. She claimed it was Christian. DNA tests proved it was Blake's child. He married Bakley. It was his second marriage and Bakley's eleventh.

It was very strange listening to a hip, pre-Baretta Robert Blake discuss his long career and mention events that would parallel future events in his life.

Chilling. By the by, I always found Robert Blake's appearances with Johnny to be very odd. They struck me as two guys from different planets who somehow found a way to get along. If I weren't antsy about people doing long-distance psychology, I might even think Johnny — who was so measured in what little he revealed of his own feelings and insecurities, envied Blake's tendency to say just about anything without hesitation.

I'm still enjoying those reruns on Antenna TV so long as I can fast-forward through entire guests and I have been known to bail after the Act Two desk spot. It's too bad they have to avoid the episodes with great musical performances. There were some terrific ones on Mr. Carson's program.

Black Votes Matter

Josh Marshall nails what's really, really wrong with the Trump candidacy: They're simultaneously trying to get black votes and the votes of those who believe blacks get too much consideration and favoritism. At some point, they seemed to have believed they could win the White House with just the latter but the polls show that ain't happening so now, someone thinks they can pivot. Or maybe pivot enough to get some of the black vote without losing whites who resent catering to blacks…or something. Whatever it is, it's not possible. Not after months of the first approach.

But I also think what Trump's after are white voters who are uncomfy with his more racist appeals. I think a lot of this is an attempt to soften his image and maybe pick up some of them. And I don't think that can possibly work either.

And there's one more thing that I think it working against Trump. His position on way too many issues is basically "Trust me. I'll come up with something great." What's his plan for health care if he does as he promises and kills Obamacare? He'll come up with something great. What's he going to do to stimulate the economy? He'll come up with something great. And now, what's he going to do to better the lives of black people? He's going to come up with something so great that when he runs for his second term, he'll get 95% of the black vote.

You can get away with that early in a campaign but as Election Day grows near, people want to hear a little bit about what that "something great" is.

Yesterday's Video Link

This is a group of Asian men performing "Up the Ladder to the Roof"…

Recommended Reading

There are a lot of articles and quizzes online designed to tell you if you're a Libertarian and just don't know it. I'm not sure Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate for president, could pass any of them. He certainly doesn't strike me as anyone who should be president even though I agree with some of his positions. So do Clinton and Trump, by the way.

Here's a piece on where Johnson stands on the issues. Frankly, I see very little to recommend this man for the job. If you're a real Libertarian — as opposed to whatever he is — you might give him your vote to hope that the party will remain viable and might someday have a candidate with a chance. If you just want to cast a protest vote against the two main candidates…well, that doesn't sound like a good reason to me.

Tax Disclosure Evasion

Lots of folks out there are speculating why Donald Trump won't release his taxes.  What the heck is in them that he doesn't want anyone to see?

I would like to speculate that there may not be a specific thing he's hiding.  He knows that the minute he makes them public, opposition research is going to go to work, scrutinizing every last item and trying to see if there's any way they can spin it as a negative for him.  He knows this because that's what everyone does, what his forces do with every bit of information they can get about Hillary Clinton.

During the Impeachment of Bill, that was a lot of what was going on.  Under the guise of investigating and demanding "transparency," a lot of Bill's enemies were saying, in effect, "Let us dig deeper into your files in search of stuff we can use against you!  Maybe we can find an actual crime in there…and even if we can't, there's probably something we can make sound like a crime!"  So it may just be that Trump doesn't want to make it easy for them to do that.

Then again, if this article is true, the thing Trump fears most is people believing he's not as rich as he claims to be.  You can make fun of his hair, his failed marriages, his failed businesses, his weight…you can even say he yearns to bang one of his daughters.  But don't you dare say he's not fabulously wealthy.  So maybe it's that.

Today's Video Link

This is four men performing "Up the Ladder to the Roof"…

This Could Happen

I have developed a plan on how I'm going to become the next President of the United States.  Martians will land on Earth and they will seize control of the minds of every registered voter in this country.  They will decide to install an Earthling under their control in our White House and for technical reasons, it will have to be someone who's 6'3" tall and born in a leap year, who used to write Woody Woodpecker comic books and who was once punched in the arm by Jack LaLanne.  After checking out millions of other Americans, they will decide that I am the only person who meets those requirements and on Friday, January 20 of 2017, I will be inaugurated as the 45th President of these United States.

Impossible?  Absurd?  Hey, it's no less likely than the way Evan McMullin figures he's going to become president.

Today's Political Posting

Several folks have written in to ask about tracking the Electoral College, which is (I think) the important way to look at the election. The last week or so, Trump has gained somewhat in the national vote but when you look at the state races, he's still losing as many states as ever and Hillary is still way ahead in enough to give her way more than 270 electoral votes. Here are the main sites where you can track all this…

  • Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight is considered the gold standard of aggregating the various polls and weighting them properly. He has three different models through which to view the electoral breakdown and in theory, all of them should converge more and more as we near November.
  • The New York Times has a page called Upshot which gives you a clear breakdown of how many of the pollsters or other aggregators see the election.
  • None of these sites have a visible bias but 270 to Win does seem to favor Republicans a bit more. That doesn't mean they're wrong…and they do have a lot of past stats you won't find elsewhere.
  • Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball, which comes to us from the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, seems to favor Democrats a bit more. That doesn't mean they're wrong…and they're good about explaining why they classify a given state as they do.
  • The Cook Political Report is pretty non-partisan and pretty solid. Always worth a look.

All of these sites called the last presidential election with reasonable accuracy…and they did that at a time when Dick Morris was on Fox News saying the polls were wrong and that Mitt Romney would win in a landslide. There are individual pollsters out there with no track record saying that Trump's ahead in Pennsylvania or that he's even on a national level and you can believe them if you want. I'm sticking with these five sites.

Eddie, Are You Kidding?

Eddie Murphy almost never grants interviews. He also doesn't make many movies these days but he recently made one and to promote it, he sat for this interview. Thanks to Jeff Abraham for letting me know about it.

Is Larry Fine?

Another interview with Larry Wilmore and talk of the end of The Nightly Show.  Mr. Wilmore seems rankled that there wasn't more cross-promotion between The Daily Show and his program.  Unasked in this and all the other interviews I've seen is the question of to what extent he thinks the termination of The Nightly Show was due to bad ratings from its lead-in.  I'll bet he thinks, "A lot."

From the E-Mailbag…

I got this the other day from John Heaton…

In one of your recent blog posts, you wrote, "Don't play the slot machines at the airport." My sole Las Vegas gambling experience was at the airport, and I won seven bucks on one $0.75 spin. I take it this modest success was atypical?

No, it was probably typical in that seven bucks is about all the slots at the airport ever pay off. Elsewhere, they have been known to spit out payoffs in two, three, four, five, six and even seven figures.

It's pretty well-known in Vegas and Reno and places like that that slot machines are not set for loose playoffs in places where you play them because you're stuck there. If you're at the Tropicana and the machines just aren't paying off for you, you can walk across the street to the Excalibur or the MGM Grand and play there. If you're sitting near Gate 17 waiting for your flight to board in an hour and a lot's going in but nothing's coming out, where are you going to go?

The slots at the airport have no reason to be competitive. When someone scores a big win at a casino, the casino takes out ads and billboard proclaiming that Becky Lou Freebish from Walla Walla won three million bucks at their establishment. That's to entice gamblers who'll think that casino's slots must be easy to win on. When there's a huge payout at the airport, no one says, "Hey, let's go out and play the slots at the airport!" (For one thing, you can't if you aren't flying somewhere.)

There have been big jackpots at the airport slots but since those don't noticeably increase business there, how do you think the slots are set? Conventional wisdom among some slot players is that the machines at the airport are, these days, no worse than a lot of the slots in casinos. That may be so but the point is that there are better machines than others to play and you at least have a chance of finding one in other venues.

Today's Video Link

This is eight women on a street somewhere performing "Up the Ladder to the Roof"…

Recommended Reading

Matt Taibbi on how awful much of the press has been during this election. I suspect it will get worse as the media needs a "Trump Comeback" narrative whether it's justified or not.

Opening Soon

Here's a guide to what's opening on Broadway this Fall. There's not a lot there that excites me…and of course, no mention of the musical version of The Nutty Professor.